Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 263.775628 298.099210 336.290066 382.132338 435.923623 497.355208 573.270315
2025-03-16 207.269026 250.673754 303.244045 372.354252 461.937668 575.704841 733.677853
2025-03-23 180.640578 228.111669 288.845121 373.662018 491.363179 652.499361 896.258254
2025-03-30 158.506050 206.866143 271.405346 365.925012 504.478804 706.265998 1034.515417
2025-04-06 143.481208 192.590824 260.552039 364.303930 523.989467 769.994706 1198.205482
2025-04-13 127.044704 174.265866 241.482927 347.512592 517.196360 790.849491 1294.833558
2025-04-20 121.322937 170.455818 242.624573 360.744350 558.405089 894.625778 1556.860825
2025-04-27 116.953057 168.038179 245.322800 376.342882 605.267661 1015.668555 1880.753786
2025-05-04 109.901604 160.796980 239.668816 377.311901 626.647636 1094.047099 2139.149979
2025-05-11 101.582145 150.827236 228.652175 367.746412 627.395316 1132.824196 2321.855769
2025-05-18 94.637222 142.466477 219.461506 360.223941 630.668278 1176.747047 2527.619902
2025-05-25 91.785366 140.471272 220.602587 371.177392 670.878803 1304.234282 2974.219001
2025-06-01 87.176379 135.350676 216.195686 371.847003 691.604979 1395.891518 3366.227073
2025-06-08 81.680080 128.352372 207.965606 364.431060 694.674348 1448.619127 3671.311183
2025-06-15 78.000863 124.171315 204.332127 365.448595 715.792772 1548.294027 4153.380161
2025-06-22 73.443545 118.138481 196.848196 357.951176 716.908978 1598.636717 4500.301593
2025-06-29 70.087733 113.996065 192.504048 356.369635 731.272183 1686.333332 5011.668895
2025-07-06 65.097993 106.623780 181.589774 340.025806 708.716266 1670.412258 5145.726697
2025-07-13 64.131858 106.465202 184.322407 352.905643 758.493706 1867.224449 6187.127208
2025-07-20 63.447472 106.763307 187.935130 368.085582 816.624295 2104.460307 7545.563752
2025-07-27 61.204899 104.002659 185.303435 369.028463 838.217857 2235.906812 8521.036773
2025-08-03 58.037221 99.309482 178.478361 359.720306 831.137625 2273.812417 9069.804825
2025-08-10 55.289443 95.274178 172.730205 352.399135 828.562210 2326.796420 9736.762276